Japan and UK are in recessions

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stave off
In the UK, however, population and wage growth weren’t sufficient to stave off a drop in consumer spending, one of the main drivers of that economy.
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(phrasal verb) to prevent something bad from affecting you for a period of time.
onset
That group judges the onset of a recession retroactively based upon “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and last more than a few months”
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(noun) = beginning

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